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Thursday, December 29, 2011

''Gulf experts warn of consequences of a US-Israel strike on Iran''

read more from gulf news....

"However, Mustafa Alani of the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center does not believe Iran is capable of shutting the Strait of Hormuz and switching off global oil supplies. He told Arab News: “Iran tried to close the Hormuz even during the long war with Iraq but could never manage it even for one day. We understand Iran’s capabilities all too well. Shutting the Hormuz through which more than 19 million barrels of oil passes every day isn’t an easy task and I don’t think Tehran would try it.”


Not everyone is convinced though that a war on Iran is imminent. N. Janardhan, a Gulf-based analyst and author of "Boom Amid Gloom: The Spirit of Possibility in the 21st Century Gulf" told Arab News: “As much as it’s alarming, it’s unlikely that the heightened US-Iran rhetoric would degenerate into conflict. All the involved parties already have enough on their plates to look for more trouble, which would surely be disastrous. If the US wanted to take military action, it would have been better off doing so while its troops were in Iraq. Its current economic and political woes suggest that it wouldn’t risk another misadventure.”

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